scenario-driver-identification

$npx mdskill add yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/scenario-driver-identification

Identify top uncertainty drivers using PESTEL analysis for scenario planning

  • Scans external factors to highlight uncertainties impacting future research
  • Uses PESTEL framework to categorize political, economic, and other drivers
  • Ranks drivers by impact and uncertainty scores based on research context
  • Returns a prioritized list of 5-8 drivers for downstream scenario development

SKILL.md

.github/skills/scenario-driver-identificationView on GitHub ↗
---
name: scenario-driver-identification
description: "Identify key uncertainty drivers using PESTEL framework scanning"
version: 1.0.0
category: experiment-execution
type: sop
execution: subagent
prompt: ./prompt.md
used-by:
  - morphological-scenario
  - parameter-space-construction
input: research context, planning horizon, domain constraints
output: ranked list of 5-8 uncertainty drivers with impact and uncertainty scores
---

# SOP: Scenario Driver Identification

Identify the key uncertainty drivers that could shift the research landscape within the planning horizon. Uses PESTEL (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, Legal) framework to ensure comprehensive coverage.

Subagent — spawned via subagent-spawning/spawn-agent skill.

More from yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine

SkillDescription
abductive-hypothesis-generationStrategy: 面对异常的最佳解释推理
ablation-brainstormRemove components one by one, observe system changes to reveal hidden dependencies and generate ideas from structural gaps.
ablation-component-mappingMap system architecture to ablatable units for ablation studies
ablation-designDesign ablation studies to isolate component contributions in ML systems
ablation-executionRemove components one by one from a system, record the response/impact of each removal.
abp-vulnerability-classificationClassify assumptions on 2 axes — load-bearing (how much conclusion depends on it) × vulnerable (how likely to be false). Focuses attention on High-Load × High-Vulnerable quadrant.
abstraction-extractionExtract abstract principles from concrete domain cases. Strips domain-specific details to reveal transferable mechanisms.
abstraction-ladderPerform bisociation at multiple abstraction levels
abstraction-ladderingMove between concrete and abstract framings — 3 levels up (Why?) and 3 levels down (How?) to find the most productive research level.
abstraction-to-designAbstract biological principle to design principle. Bridge from biology to engineering.